What Cities Are Most Deserving of Major League Baseball Franchises As MLB Expands?

With the potential expansion of Major League Baseball (MLB) to 32 teams, the search for new markets and fan bases is more critical than ever. This article explores the cities most deserving of a new MLB franchise, considering population, geographic proximity, baseball tradition, and economic factors.

Geographic Proximity and Population Density

The current distribution of MLB teams across the United States provides a valuable guide to areas that may benefit from expansion. A map colored by which MLB team is closest reveals significant geographic gaps and opportunities. For instance, the Atlanta Braves serve a vast population, with four of the top six teams in contiguous regions. This leaves room for additional teams in San Antonio, Austin, Charlotte, and Nashville, all of which have significant population bases.

Other potential areas include western New York (Buffalo), Oregon (Portland), and western Canada (Vancouver). Florida presents an interesting opportunity with cities like Orlando, Las Vegas, and Montreal, despite less obvious geographic proximity. Mexican cities like Mexico City and San Juan also offer potential, with strong baseball traditions and regional support.

Historical Context and Recent Developments

Historically, MLB has taken steps to expand and relocate franchises, often driven by financial considerations. The relocation of the Montreal Expos to Washington in 2005 continues to influence public sentiment towards future expansion. Portland, Oregon, currently has a strong push for an expansion franchise, backed by financial and state support for a new stadium.

The success of the Las Vegas Golden Knights and the interest in expanding into the Las Vegas market, despite its previous lack of Major League presence, are significant indicators of changing attitudes. Sports betting regulations and the growing urban population are also factors that contribute to the viability of expansion in previously less desirable regions.

Population and Economic Factors

Texas, with its large and growing population, is another top contender for expansion. The second-most populous state in the US, Texas could potentially support two MLB franchises if current trends continue. San Antonio and Austin, both large cities with growing populations, offer compelling arguments for a new MLB team.

San Antonio, with a larger population, may initially seem the more obvious choice. However, Austin's faster-growing population and higher per capita income—thanks in large part to its tech industry—make it a strong contender for a third MLB franchise. Austin's desirable millennial demographic and lack of a franchise in any of the four major leagues make it an attractive option for a new MLB team.

Challenges and Opportunities in Mexico

Expansion into Mexico presents both opportunities and challenges. Monterrey, having hosted multiple MLB games, appears to be the optimal location for a potential Mexican franchise. However, Mexico City's high elevation and altitude differ from the league's current conditions, potentially creating unique baseball challenges.

Despite these challenges, a Mexican franchise remains a potential future option as MLB looks to further integrate its Latin American talent base and appeal to growing international markets.

As MLB moves towards expansion, cities like Orlando, Las Vegas, Montreal, and Monterrey present clear opportunities. However, the success of expansion teams in previous markets, like the Vegas Golden Knights, strongly suggests that the right combination of financial support, stadium development, and a strong fan base are crucial for the success of new MLB franchises. The inevitable expansion to 32 teams will continue to reshape the landscape of American professional baseball.