Harry Kane's Chances of Breaking Alan Shearer's Premier League Scoring Record

Harry Kane has established himself as one of England's finest strikers since making his debut for Tottenham Hotspur in the 2014-2015 season. With a total of 280 goals for Tottenham, including 213 in the Premier League, many fans and analysts wonder if he can break Alan Shearer's all-time Premier League scoring record.

The Journey of Harry Kane

Hailing from Kent, Harry Kane has shown exceptional talent from a young age. For 213 goals, most of which have come in the Premier League, and considering his potential longevity in the league, the possibility of breaking Shearer's record is quite intriguing.

Alan Shearer's Achievements

Alan Shearer, the legendary striker who played for teams including Southampton, Blackburn Rovers, and Newcastle United, is a figure synonymous with the top-scoring record in the Premier League. His 283 Premier League goals were crucial in establishing him as one of the greatest strikers in the league's history.

Shearer's total of 379 goals, of which 260 were in the Premier League, make his record a formidable benchmark for any aspiring record-breaker. The 23 goals he scored for Southampton before the Premier League era must be subtracted, bringing the realistic Premier League record to 260 goals.

Harry Kane’s Current Position and Future Prospects

In terms of progress, Harry Kane stands at 213 Premier League goals, just shy of Shearer’s record. At his current goal-scoring rate and considering his contract with Bayern Munich until June 2027, he has the potential to eclipse Shearer's record. He recently scored his 36 Bundesliga goals for Bayern Munich, pushing his goal tally to an impressive 249.

Given his age, at 30 (31 in a couple of weeks), he is well ahead of his peers in terms of career longevity. If he stays at Bayern Munich for the next couple of years, he has a solid chance to score enough goals to make an impact.

Return to the Premier League

If Harry Kane returns to the Premier League, it could be with clubs like Bayern Munich transferring him or signing him on a free transfer. His contract with Bayern will expire in 2027, and he may decide to come back to Tottenham and conclude his career there. However, keeping in form at such an advanced age will be a tough challenge.

There is a substantial risk that he may not maintain the necessary goal-scoring form at 34 and above. If he extends his contract with Bayern or decides to move to another league such as Italy, Spain, or even the US or Saudi Arabia, then his chances of breaking Shearer's record will diminish significantly.

Current Closest Contenders

The closest contenders to Harry Kane are in this category. Mohamed Salah, currently standing at 157 goals, is only a year away from potentially leaving Liverpool. Given his current form, he might not accumulate enough goals in the EPL to even reach Shearer's record.

The top 6 current Premier League goal scorers are:

Alan Shearer: 260 goals Harry Kane: 213 goals Wayne Rooney: 208 goals Andy Cole: 187 goals Argentine Sergio Agüero: 184 goals Frank Lampard: 177 goals

Conclusion

While it is undoubtedly ambitious, breaking Alan Shearer's record is not impossible for Harry Kane, especially if he makes smart strategic decisions. The future is uncertain in football, and athletic careers can take unexpected turns. For now, Harry Kane's history within the Premier League makes him one of the top contenders to break this historic record.